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New Zealand’s Leading Independent Fieldwork Company

RNZ REID POLL RESULTS

We have been conducting the Political Polling since 2009.  Our quality standards are open to the ultimate scrutiny! 

See below for the latest RNZ-Reid Research Poll Results.




 

Political Poll

 
21-27 March 2025

Methodology

  Date poll was conducted   
Surveys were completed from Friday 21st March to Thursday
27th  March 2025

 
  Median Date

Sunday 23rd March 2025
(when 50% of the sample was achieved)
 

Collection Method

Online methodology is used to collect data.

Target Population

Eligible New Zealand voters 18+ years

Sample Size

n=1000

Sampling Technique

Respondents were sourced from one of several Online Research Companies’ Panels which comply with the ESOMAR guidelines for online research.

Quota sampling and weighting to ensure representative cross section by age, gender and geography

Sample Coverage

National including rural, secondary urban and main urban areas.

Weighting

To correct for non-response in any of the quota sampling variables, the data have been weighted based on Statistics New Zealand’s population counts 2023.

Sample Error

Maximum of 3.1% expressed at a 95% confidence level 

 


Party Vote

If a general election was held tomorrow under MMP, which political party would you vote for?
 

Poll Results:  21-27 March 2025

Party

%

Projected Number of seats

National Party

32.9

41

Labour Party

32.3

40

Green Party

10

12

ACT New Zealand

9.4

12

New Zealand First

7.2

9

Te Pāti Māori

5

6

The Opportunities Party (TOP)

1.8

 

New Conservatives

1.1

 

All Others

0.2

 

Total*

939

120

Don’t know/ undecided

2.5

 

Would not vote

3.6

 

Total**

1000

 


*Total Excluding Don't Know/ undecided and Would not vote
**Total Respondents Surveyed 
 
 



Click HERE to view Party Vote results for 2020-2025



 
Preferred Prime Minister

If you were able to vote for any politician in New Zealand to be Prime Minister, for whom would you vote?
 

Top 5 Preferred Prime Minister
 

 

%

Christopher Luxon

21.9

Chris Hipkins

20.9

Winston Peters

7.9

David Seymour

6.8

Chloe Swarbrick

6.1

All others mentioned
 

Jacinda Ardern

3.5

Hana Rawhiti

1.2

Helen Clark

1.2

John Key

1.2

Chris Bishop

1

Nicola Willis

0.8

James Shaw

0.7

Marama Davidson

0.7

Judith Collins

0.5

Simon Bridges

0.2

Others

7.2

None

4.1

Don’t know

14.1

Total

1000




National Leader and Labour Leader Net Scores

2015 - 2025

 

Poll Dates

National

Labour

20-28 Jan 2015

38.6

27.1

21-27 May 2015

23.6

12.9

14-22 July 2015

21

9.4

8-16 Sept 2015

25.5

11.1

9-17 Nov 2015

22

3

12-22 May 2016

22.2

-11.1

22July - 3 Aug 2016

26.1

-4.1

10-19 March 2017

35

-0.5

2-12 June 2017

42.5

-6.4

20-28 July 2017

26.4

-16.5

2-8 Aug 2017

28.1

38.3

22-30 Aug 2017

38.4

52.6

6-11 Sept 2017

35.7

42.4

13-20 Sept 2017

39.2

40.4

18-28 Jan 2018

29.1

61

17-24 May 2018

11.9

54.8

24Jan-2Feb 2019

-28.9

51.5

30May - 7June 2019

-39

56.9

2-9 October 2019

-28.8

39.3

23Jan-1Feb 2020

-24.5

40.9

8-16 May 2020

-37.9

78.5

16-24 July 2020

8.7

77.1

16-23 September 2020

-1.1

61.5

8-15 October 2020

6.3

66.8

7-13 May 2021

-18.9

51.4

22-29 July 2021

-22.8

33.6

10-17 November 2021

-36.8

24.7

22 Jan - 4 Feb 2022

18

28.4

18-27 April 2022

23.9

24.2

25 Oct - 3 Nov 2022

11.2

9.3

5-11 May 2023

0.7

37.4

26-31 July 2023

2.3

22.8

3-9 September 2023

6.3

12.7

17-23 September 2023

11.3

11.3

5-10 October 2023

5.2

21

21-27 March 2025

-3.9

12.3


 


Chart250411-888-953-377

 
 

National Leader at the time the Reid Poll was conducted
 

National Leader

From
(the first poll dates)

To
(the last Poll dates)

John Keys

*Before 2015

9-17 Nov 2015

Bill English

12-22 May 2016

18-28 January 2018

Simon Bridges

17-24 May 2018

8-16 May 2020

Judith Collins

16-24 July 2020

10-17 November 2021

Christopher Luxon

22 January - 4 February 2022

21-27 March 2025

     
     

Labour Leader at the time the Reid Poll was conducted
 

 Labour Leader

From
(the first Poll dates)

To
(the last Poll dates)

Andrew Little

20-28 January 2015

20-28 July 2017

Jacinda Ardern

2-8 August 2017

25 October - 3 November 2022

Chris Hipkins

5-11 May 2023

21-27 March 2025

 
 

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